Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.021565 0.025113 0.029026 0.033659 0.038989 0.044924 0.052028
2025-11-09 0.015925 0.020433 0.025870 0.032890 0.041697 0.052358 0.066222
2025-11-16 0.012504 0.017456 0.023906 0.032882 0.045002 0.060746 0.082688
2025-11-23 0.009822 0.014787 0.021716 0.032016 0.046853 0.067349 0.097684
2025-11-30 0.008512 0.013697 0.021381 0.033482 0.051918 0.078768 0.120604
2025-12-07 0.007164 0.012260 0.020244 0.033501 0.054755 0.087233 0.140239
2025-12-14 0.005890 0.010683 0.018593 0.032393 0.055593 0.092649 0.155766
2025-12-21 0.005021 0.009608 0.017553 0.032054 0.057513 0.099848 0.174794
2025-12-28 0.004632 0.009303 0.017749 0.033801 0.063086 0.113547 0.205973
2026-01-04 0.004188 0.008811 0.017523 0.034733 0.067302 0.125350 0.235146
2026-01-11 0.003579 0.007890 0.016356 0.033736 0.067844 0.130697 0.253413
2026-01-18 0.003147 0.007249 0.015625 0.033452 0.069644 0.138441 0.276770
2026-01-25 0.002695 0.006496 0.014576 0.032423 0.069935 0.143534 0.296013
2026-02-01 0.002331 0.005874 0.013704 0.031631 0.070592 0.149396 0.317404
2026-02-08 0.002079 0.005463 0.013222 0.031597 0.072806 0.158558 0.346323
2026-02-15 0.001805 0.004949 0.012428 0.030751 0.073151 0.163917 0.368006
2026-02-22 0.001708 0.004860 0.012607 0.032156 0.078644 0.180639 0.415306
2026-03-01 0.001540 0.004556 0.012223 0.032170 0.080964 0.190760 0.449414
2026-03-08 0.001338 0.004120 0.011442 0.031102 0.080605 0.194915 0.470760
2026-03-15 0.001197 0.003828 0.010984 0.030776 0.081978 0.203105 0.502036
2026-03-22 0.001157 0.003824 0.011285 0.032456 0.088515 0.223909 0.564529
2026-03-29 0.001087 0.003717 0.011291 0.033353 0.093174 0.240735 0.619278
2026-04-05 0.000957 0.003397 0.010651 0.032393 0.092896 0.245607 0.645752